Tuesday, May 8, 2007

Overbetting/Zeebo

I've been messing around more with overbetting/value shoving. I've been thinking about it in terms of the Zeebo Theorem:

Zeebo Theorem
- no one is capable of folding a full house. Ever.

It's kind of tongue-in-cheek, but understanding it really allows you to get paid off.

Corollary - people can't fold the nut flush either. If you have a full house and you think someone has the nut flush, just shove - they'll call.

Example:

Sun Choi (58/5/0.4) - loose passive and a pretty big loser (79 BB/100) over 289 hands.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$0.25/$0.50 Blinds
6 Players
http://www.legopoker.com/hh

Hero: $49.50
alec200: $69.50
BeeeBack: $52.90
Al3oholica: $62.90
sun choi: $75.55
Jullp: $54.25

Preflop: Hero is dealt 4c 7c (6 Players)
BeeeBack folds, Al3oholica folds, sun choi calls $0.50, Jullp folds, Hero calls $0.25, alec200 checks

74s is certainly good enough to see a flop with.

Flop: ($1.50) 6s 4s 4d (3 Players)
Hero bets $1.50, alec200 folds, sun choi calls $1.50

Bingo! Trips. Start building a pot ...

Turn: ($4.50) Ks (2 Players)
Hero bets $3, sun choi calls $3

Hmm ... flush draw out there. Let's continue betting until we are told different.

River: ($10.50) 7s (2 Players)
Hero bets all-in for $44.50, sun choi calls $44.50

Full house! Let's see ... if he's got the As he is certainly calling (cause he's a calling station). If he has like A4 or another 4 he is probably calling. Shove!

Pot Size: $99.50 ($3 Rake)

sun choi had As 9d (a flush, Ace high) and LOST (-$49.50)
Hero had 4c 7c (a full house, Fours full of Sevens) and WON (+$47)

For The Win!

1 comment:

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