Thursday, May 3, 2007

Day 2 of 50NL

Here are my 2-day totals. I'm 1233 hands in:

Some Hands:

99 ... is he really potting trip tens here?
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1060178

Qd9d. I could re-raise flop, but the guy is crazy. I'm exercising pot control by calling.
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1060181

KQo vs. same villain. I choose to go the low variance route and fold.
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1060192


Loose, aggro guy raises, TAG calls. Sounds like it's time to ... squeeze with 9h6h:
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1060185

Cardcare's 100K

Cardcare posted his PT numbers from 600NL and 1000NL. I wanted to compare them with my own numbers from 25NL:
Some key differences:

1. He folds his BB significantly less than I do.

2. His "Won $ WSF%" (Won $ When Seeing Flop %) is around 15% higher than mine. This is significant.

3. My "Won $ at SD%" (Won $ at Show Down %) is around 12% higher than his.

4. We raise about the same, but he plays much looser (VPIP) than I do.

Anyhow ... his numbers are something I am going to come back to throughout the challenge. The guy is clearly a winner so it's interesting to see the differences/similarities in our pre-flop game.

Highlights of the discussion that followed his post:

"MT Ratio is 4.98. NL 600 was 4-6 tables only, NL 1000 with 6-8 tables."

"
Perhaps the SB is my favourite position to squeeze and I openraise alot out of teh SB."

Deception/Pot Control

I like a check in postion here:
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1056528

Why?

FollowFanfare runs at 23/20. He's going to be calling me with all sorts of hands like 8's, 7's, and 10's. By checking the flop I control the size and really underrepresent my hand. Notice what he called me with at the end.

Wednesday, May 2, 2007

1st Day of 50NL

I played for 1.5 hours (5.41 MT Ratio). Overall, I'm very happy with my play. There is a big difference right off the bat in how loose the players are pre-flop. They are a lot tighter at 50NL. I also tightened up a bit.

The shorter session was good too.

A Few Hands.

I like a check here more so than a blocker bet. When he shoved I knew I was good.
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1056525

Here, I like a check on the turn as well. River shove is expert :)
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1056530

A float! I like raising the turn here to rep a big ace. His bet screams weakness.
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1056538

Here I wasn't bluffing ... I was value betting. Player was crazy.
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1056581

... and your obligatory cooler:
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1056534

After review ... a plan for 50NL

5 Things Which To Work on at 50NL:
  1. Continue playing very loose from the button - it's a good $$ spot for me.
  2. Tighten up in the CO with a looser player on the button. Change tables maybe?
  3. Play between 4-8 tables. 6 is ideal.
  4. Play more carefull with AK. Don't stack off pre-flop at this limit unless it's against a huge donk (VPIP > 40, PFR > 20).
  5. Increase my WTS % to > 30%. This might mean I will have to tighten up more in MP and CO.
That's a start ... I'll evaluate this after 2,000 hands.

Tuesday, May 1, 2007

Done with 25NL

Ugh ... what a way to go out:

Here I make the right read and lose. Ugh.
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1053315

I'm pretty frustrated with myself. I feel like I should be able to beat 25NL at a much higher rate. On some level, I want to do another 10K hands and see what happens. Anyhow, here is my graph:


So much variance ... it's no good. I think my biggest heater was 8 buy-ins and my biggest downswing was 4 buy-ins. In the end, I just don't think I gave my 100% to the level which caused all the swings. Now ... some facts:

Top 5 Moneymakers:

1. AA (by far). I've had it 55 times for $273.90
2. AQo. 76 times for $80.25
3. KQs. 38 times for $76.95
4. KK. 53 times for $63.15 - lost 9 of them
5. TT. 47 times for $54.45

Top 5 Losers:

1. 65s. -$49.60
2. AKs. - $45.90
3. AJs. -$33.95
4. JJ. -$30.15
5. 54o. -$29.95

And the postion stats:


As you can see, I made most of my $$ from the button and UTG. It looks like my leaks are from the CO and MP. I will def tighten up in 2nd position. My SB/BB play seems ok.

Also, Brian Rue mentioned that the Went to SD % should be over 30%. This is only happening for me in the UTG position. Maybe I just need to tighten up in general and work on getting that number up by playing better quality hands.

So ... if someone's WTS% is high, you can't bluff them. It looks like I'm very bluffable though. Another thing to work on.

I also paid $238 in rake. This is more than I made. GG FTP.

Break Even stretch ...

Just not hitting the hands ...

Fold River?
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1051707

Fold River:
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1051708